The Contribution of Unobserved Contemporaneous Preference Structures on Consumer Spending Using Micro-Panel Data

Summary

著者
Masahiro Sato , Makoto Yano
シリーズ
MQ Discussion Series
DP番号
2018-001
公開年月
August 2022
言語
英語
URL
ファイル
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Summary
This paper examines the contribution of unobserved contemporaneous preference structures over different products on consumer spending. Previous studies that dealt with idiosyncratic preference shocks only focus on time preference of individual consumers. But for variety-loving consumers, the differences in preferences structure over various products between consumers and its change over times might affect consumer spending through different income and price elasticity. We use micro panel data on barcode-level purchase records to recover unobserved preference parameters of consumers belonging to different clusters by estimating a structural model of consumer demand. Then a fixed effects model estimation is conducted on the micro panel data. The results show that using the price index adjusted by contemporaneous preference structure improve the explanatory power of the model significantly compared to other reference price indices such as Stone price index with true price, Stone price index with product-group CPI, and all item CPI.

 
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